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Euroleague Positional Statistics (II) – Power Forwards

with 4 comments

In part two of our midseason mini series, we are looking at the statistical performance of power forwards in the 2011/12 Euroleague season.

For a short introduction I point you to the opening post. The glossary should also provide help.

Erazem Lorbek must be among the MVP candidates based on his Euroleague play. Lorbek is scoring the basketball with ridiculous efficiency and not committing turnovers, but that is only the Euroleague Lorbek. The ACB Lorbek is scoring the basketball on 0.919 PPP. Say hello to our sample size problem.

If the small forward position is somewhat short of talent, the power forward position is not. Most of the top players are in their mid to late twenties, but Mirotic (’91), Macvan (’89) and Motiejunas (’90) have to be considered elite level based on their play this season.

Always keep an eye on the top left in usage vs efficiency charts: low-usage, functional role players who do their job. Guys like Kaimakoglou, Vorontsevich, Ress.

The three point shot is almost a necessity in a modern power forward’s game. Only few power forwards play exclusively inside the arc these days. Among players with a total of 150 minutes or more, only five (Reyes, Tucker, Thompson, Banic, Songaila) take less than ten percent of their shots from the outside. There is a crop of hybrid PFs who can play different roles based on team strategy, including usage at the center position. If you ask Freeland or Lorbek to play a strict stretch four, they’ll play the stretch four, but they are both capable of plenty of inside scoring.

The advantage of using a stretch four is obvious: You create space for whatever your high percentage weapons are, usually the 1/5 pick and roll. Coaches preach floor spacing religiously. That is why you see a high amount of power forward three point shots.

I did not add info on assisted/unassisted three point shots since the overwhelming majority of power forward three pointers is created by an assist. There is exactly one prominent exception: Mirza Teletovic, who shoots like a guard in both dimensions – frequency, unassisted/assisted ratio. The most similar player in terms of unassisted/assisted shots per minute is Henry Domercant. No need to say more.

There are power forwards who score from two point range. Alongside mentioned Lorbek and Freeland, Eliyahu, Samnick, Macvan, Tucker, Suput, Songaila score more than 2.5 unassisted two pointers per 28 minutes. Tucker, a 3/4, usually attacks his man facing the basket, Eliyahu is simply unorthodox with his arsenal of floaters and runners. Songaila is scoring on 45.5 percent from two point range, Lorbek (the Euroleague version) 66.3.

Reyes has been among the competition’s best offensive rebounders for years. Real possesses one of the more interesting Euroleague frontcourts: Mirotic and Reyes are fundamentally different players. Laso obviously doesn’t like the Reyes/Tomic combo (40 minutes this season), but he does like Mirotic/Tomic (134) and Reyes/Begic (90). Mirotic/Begic (65) comes third, Mirotic with Reyes at center (57) fourth.

Blu offers great shooting at the four, but he also brings subpar rebounding. Sofo is not doing the job either and Hendrix is an average defensive rebounder, but Maccabi is still above league average in defensive rebounding.

Steals and blocks only cover a small portion of defensive performance. Would you call Gist a good defensive player? I doubt. But they are still measurable contributions.

The performance of Ilyasova, who is excellent in steals, blocks and defensive rebounds, stands out here. You get a sense of what Efes is missing.

Christophe Beghin has managed to go without a single steal or block in 168 minutes.

Khryapa’s passing is off the charts. He’s also committing a fair amount of turnovers, but they’ll take that as long as he creates easy looks for Krstic, Kirilenko etc. And he does that. Here’s the thing about turnover percentage: It punishes players who don’t take shots. Khryapa averages just 6.5 shot attempts a game, but he takes risks with his passing. TOV% is in the “per possession”-family, like PPP.

Lorbek’s is committing no turnovers (yes, in ACB, too), that is, combined with the number of shots he creates for himself, remarkable.

Edit: Table attached

(SC/G = shots created = (unassisted field goals + assists) / game ; ASST’D% = assisted field goals / field goals * 100

[table id=29 /]

Minimum: 150 minutes



¹ USG% = 100 * ((FGA + 0.47 * FTA + TO) * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * (Tm FGA + 0.47 * Tm FTA + Tm TO))
² PPP = Pts / ((FGA + 0.47 * FTA + TO)
³ ORB% = 100 * (ORB * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * (Tm ORB + Opp DRB)); DRB% = 100 * (DRB * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * (Tm DRB + Opp ORB))
⁴ STL% = 100 * (STL * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * Opp Poss)
⁵ BLK% = 100 * (BLK * (Tm MP / 5)) / (MP * (Opp FGA – Opp 3PA))
⁶ AST% = 100 * AST / (((MP / (Tm MP / 5)) * Tm FG) – FG)
⁷ TOV% = 100 * TO / (FGA + 0.47 * FTA + TO)

Written by sJacas

February 6th, 2012 at 5:48 pm

  • Dimitris Ritsonis

    It is very interesting. Actually, power forward as a position has more factors to take into account

    I like the wider perception. Can I also ask for the percentage of assisted FGs scored per total FGs scored” in order to see how often the teams run plays focused on PFs?

    This would make clearer for Euroleague teams’ style

    Also, another thing I am seeing through your research. When the player is delivered a pass and has an open look is usually given the time to either take the attempt or allow a teammate to get an even better look. The first one would be an assisted FG (or FG attempt) and the second one an assist (or a pass that wouldn’t lead to a basket)

    In other words, can we measure how important the PFs are by measuring this?

  • http://www.in-the-game.org sJacas

     Attached a table for you.

    SC (shots created) = unassisted field goald + assists

    Per game and per 28 minutes.

  • Dimitris Ritsonis

    Spectacular, man. Thank you very much

    Macvan :)

    Khryapa, Lorbek, Macvan, Eliyahu, Suput, Tucker

    Interesting to see Lorbek and Macvan so high, not because they aren’t really fluid players, but due to the high usage per game (top10 players both)

    Surprising also to notice how highly effective Eliyahu is

    I remember your claim that Mirotic is a top5 PF in the competition. Though I am not negative to this statement (I love Mirotic’s game), I see that despite his high eFG% and PPP

    What is the criterion for a top player? I see, for example, that Lorbek is in the top3 for both SC and eFG%, while a top10 player in Usg%

    It is funny of course, it depends on each teams’ gameplan and also the lineups that can create these numbers for each player. But, they are clearly very useful sources for each player in order to define the position and create a rank of this bunch

  • http://www.in-the-game.org sJacas

    Re: Mirotic

    He does two things exceptionally well: scoring on a high percentage, taking care of the basketball. I guess that’s what I like about him, shooting skill, decision making. His post up game does exist but is not used to the max due to the quality of his teammates. Put him into Macvan’s role at Partizan and he’ll play in a more prominent role.

    I see Lorbek ahead of him. You can make a good case for Khryapa. Macvan, Eliyahu, I don’t think so.

    I guess the purpose of this series is to make as accurate statements as possible based on the specific stats we have available. Combine this with video analysis and a carefully utilised bunch of situational stats (Synergy-like) and you’ll probably have a complete scouting report. Though I would probably include ACB stats to have a larger sample, plus stats from last season.