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London 2013 Live Blog

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THE MOVEMENT MARCHES ON: OLYMPIACOS WIN THEIR SECOND STRAIGHT EUROLEAGUE CROWN

Olympiacos’ triumph did not happen by chance. We introduced a new, innovative basketball movement‘. Dusan Ivkovic, June 2012

How do you stop the future? This is the question that should be running through the minds of Real Madrid players and coaches in before the final. Olympiacos returned to the top of Europe after a 15-year absence by building a defensive beast. They stayed there by retaining their defensive intensity and enhancing it with deadly execution of their half court offense.  And call me crazy, but I think that this movement can deliver even better basketball.

The first quarter started with both teams looking to protect the paint. Madrid made their threes at a breathtaking rate – off the dribble, coming off screens, from the weak side. Olympiacos tried to beat the merengues defense from inside and failed spectacularly. The usual defensive issues associated with the Powell – Printezis front line (and the American center in particular)  were magnified by Spanoulis’ insistence on going for the killer pass inside coming of the pick and roll. Transition buckets by Laso’s team, off either turnovers or bad transition defense from the champs, put the finishing touches to a 27-point first quarter. Other than the fearless play of Acie Law, Olympiacos looked like they were one punch away from getting knocked out. Then the future happened.

It started with Katsivelis and Sloukas slowing down Madrid guards. It continued with Hines answering the few questions remaining about who’s really the best center in Europe, Pero Antic scoring from everywhere while solidifying defensive rotations and Giorgi Shermadini working his tail off on hedge outs. But it really culminated with an offensive outburst rarely seen in a final setting. Spanoulis had missed his first eight three point attempts in London. At some point he realized that Madrid were playing him for his perimeter shot. Five makes later, it was evident that some adjustments should have been made. Perperoglou scored with great efficiency while playing on and off the ball. Acie Law pushed the tempo, worked expertly as the secondary pick and roll guard and finished the game with just one turnover in the 33 minutes that he spent on the floor, calling the shots. Hines and Antic were rewarded for their amazing job on D and the glass with a bunch of beautiful assists: 20 on 29 made field goals overall, handed out by eight different players and combined with just two turnovers in the second half. Bartzokas had worked diligently on half court execution all season. Tonight was his masterpiece. Laso continued with his ‘adjust for no one’ approach, but shockingly his team could not keep up with their opponents offensive productivity. Once he went for plan B, bringing in Draper to defende alongside Slaughter, it was too late. Olympiacos had simply figured out Madrid

And the crazy thing is, the champs were the youngest (not to mention the cheapest) among final four teams. Future possibilities seem limitless: how good can Shermadini become if he stops picking up silly fouls? What if the switch defense is back next season, with Hines harassing guards and big, athletic guards like Katsivelis and Mantzaris (remember one of the best guards in Europe?) fighting the roll man inside? What happens if Sloukas combines his shooting with improved slashing? How scary will the Reds’ front line be with an extra center that can defend, set screens and finish at the rim?

Of course, sooner or later the future will lead any team to an end. Spanoulis, that brilliant leader and the best Greek guard ever not named Nick Galis, is getting older. Not only that, but he will also be the hottest free agent this summer, along with Hines, the best center in Europe (can’t write this enough times). Law and Antic are also free to sign anywhere they want and Olympiacos’ budget is much tighter than the days of extravagant signings. Then again, the most important challenge for Olympiacos is to keep The Movement alive. This is about a specific culture and a winning attitude. The future is uncertain, but if those principles are implemented on a daily basis by everyone involved with the club, I can’t wait to find out what it holds.

(yes, I am a completely biased Olympiacos supporter)

 

 

 

Rod Higgins, 12/05/2013

Semifinal Notes

Recruitment is more important than coaching these days

wrote a smart basketball coach in a blog post earlier this season. How fitting that his team would stumble upon poor recruitment decisions in the most important game of their season.

Aaron Jackson was never a point guard in Messina’s offense, but he is even less of a weak side corner shooter. But that was largely his role in the Euroleague season run-in.

I believe as an elite team you cannot offer opponents weak options. Jackson stepping into the starting lineup (he had already started in Game 4 of the quarter finals after the exceptional “tall” lineup had failed to produce for two consecutive games – a small sample kneejerk reaction?) as a corner shooter on offense – of course there were also defensive considerations – was just that. Olympiakos were primarily concerned with the roll to the basket, so Spanoulis dropped deep inside off of Jackson and wasn’t particularly concerned closing out either.

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Again, Spanoulis is sitting deep. Jackson fakes the three and gets away with a travel, but is unable to create anything.

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On the Teodosic-Khryapa side pick and roll, too, Spanoulis helps against the roll.

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Olympiakos hedged hard against the 1-5 high pick and roll in many cases. Expected Messina to go more 1-4 in the 2nd half, similar to the Zalgiris game, but it never happened.

Lineups

CSKA’s tall lineup was 5-2 in just 3 minutes of play. Considering their overwhelming success this season, this is difficult to understand.

Olympiakos was 19-4 with Spanoulis-Sloukas-Perperoglou-Antic-Hines. This is the typical 2nd unit, with V-Span.

Krstic and Kaun combined for 1/5 shooting (5 points) in Kyle Hines’ 22 minutes of floor time. Hines himself had 13 points. Olympiakos outscored CSKA 38-20 during the span. The man, the legend. But you still better sign a proper starting center to replace Josh Powell next season)

sJacas, 12/05/2013

That is a statement!

In terms of recruitment, it was not a bright summer for Messina. When you make a mistake in that phase, it is really hard to compensate. Incredible help defense skills of Andrei Kirilenko and Viktor Khryapa in addition to their overall team IQ, had compensated other defensive defects last season. Nenad Krstic’s each day increasing pick and roll defense deficiency and Milos Teodosic’s not-made for defense nature were already there. In order to compensate, they needed major defensive players but their choice Vladimir Micov was not the guy who fills the gaps in defense. Sonny Weems improved his defense throughout the season but he was there for offense in the first place obviously. Aaron Jackson who has the effort but not a natural defender either. Add aging Theo Papaloukas and frequently injured Viktor Khryapa also. All these make a defensive consistency very difficult. Messina’s teams -even wildly running Benetton Trevios 2003 had a gear to lift up at defense if necessary- are always major defensive forces. Incidents like allowing a terrible offensive team such as Beşiktaş scoring 51 points in half at home was not just about having a bad day.

Signing Drew Nicholas was important, a must-have type of sharp shooter for a contender. He had improved his defense under Zeljko Obradovic, also adding a major pick and roll ball handler skills to his portfolio. As things did not work with him, replacing him with a role player who can shoot from distance made sense. Having such a guy in your roster helps your spacing as his match-up cannot risk the help, a weapon against zone defense and provides other major options on offense. Releasing Dionte Christmas was absolutely not smart.

I can understand why Ettore Messina tried Aaron Jackson on Vassilis Spanoulis as he managed similar task sometimes in the season and probably the best option with his quickness to stay in front of him. However, he doesn’t possess the required technical know-how and experience to succeed. Spanoulis did whatever he wanted tonight. Drawing two quick fouls on Jackson was only the start.

Last season against Galatasaray in do-or-die Top 16 game in Piraeus, Spanoulis played one of the best games of his career. Key success factor behind the great defensive teams of Oktay Mahmuti is the well structured pick and roll defense mechanism. He had basically run over Galatasaray’s pick and roll defense. Playing a perfect tactical game, hurting the opponent in an area that their competitive advantage exists. Amazing decision making to support overall game plan just like he did against Montepaschi Siena in a couple of weeks later. When you are beaten in a fight that you consider your strongest side, it means more than losing a fight impacting the whole war. Psychology becomes completely different. Besides maybe few rushed threes, he played the game with tactical perfection. Numbers may not be so impressive but he attacked the heart of CSKA either finding the rolling big man after half transition PnRs or driving to the rim relentlessly. In transition, he was in his usual Kill Bill mode. He never let CSKA to get up. He destroyed CSKA with his decision-making. Decision-making is still the most vital aspect of Euro ball. That is why he is the best European player with Diamantidis at the moment in my book. Sorry Kyle Hines, my MVP tonight is not you.

On the other hand, when you expect from a player like Aaron Jackson to play off the ball, not being aggressive in half court setting, he is not the same player who leaded Bilbao to Europe’s elite eight. He loses his feel for the game and he cannot make the open shots which was not a problem last season even though he is not a pure shooter. What’s worse, Messina’s balancing the team problems goes a lot deeper than that. For example, Dionte Christmas was busy dropping 30 in Milano instead of London tonight.

Viktor Khryapa has tendency making more mistakes than usual in high pressure games. This was one of them. Frustration is the word for CSKA Moscow tonight. Milos Teodosic was the leading guy to the suicide but he was not alone, a complete meltdown by whole team.

But, hats off to Giorgos Bartzokas. He did not change the game plan even if things were going alright for CSKA. They kept attacking on Krstic. When power forwards make those threes, seriously good luck against Olympiacos. Pero Antic’s shooting performance was a key in the victory. Besides, Olympiacos was the side using mismatches instead of physically advantageous opponent. They punished CSKA’s switching strategy with post-up production through Law, Perperoglou, Printezis. They kept defending man to man and not bringing help for more physical matchups in order not to initiate CSKA’s ball movement that eventually ends on the open man. Acknowledging a key point of CSKA offense was getting the ball to Krstic’s hands around the rim, they denied the passes there. Shadowing Teodosic with a physical guard Katsivelis to take him off from the game and many other details Olympiacos executed terrifically. But, heart is there before anything else. Underestimating Greek tradition at high platform is always a bad idea. They proved once more. It was a wonderful show.

CT, 11/05/2013

Full Game Stats Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona Regal

sJacas, 10/05/2013

Madrid continue their defensive excellence, will meet Olympiacos in the Euroleague final

It must have felt familiar.

Real Madrid came into their semifinal match up with Barcelona as the favorites. But when Huertas, Saras and Ingles hit a trio of tough, well contested perimeter shots early in the fourth quarter, it looked like they might come up short against their arch rivals. Again. Especially  after a nine-point third quarter.

And yet the merengues did not panic. They defended. Navarro was crowded coming off the screen, regardless of whether he was handling the ball or not. Carroll put a lot of pressure on the ball and work tirelessly on the end of the floor where his contributions are usually overlooked. Rudy was a force as both a help defender and a stopper on the ball. Reyes and Slaughter moved their feet expertly. Those four, along with Sergio Rodriguez turned the game around. Barcelona could not hit enough of those tough, well contested perimeter shots, or even easier, more open ones (Lorbek and Wallace combined to miss all six of their three-point attempts, most of them relatively or wide open). And they certainly couldn’t go to Tomic in the paint.  All that was left for Madrid to do in order to complete their comeback was take care of the little things.

Little things like Carroll contesting a transition layup by Huertas and then grabbing an offensive board on the other end to put his team up four. Or Rudy breaking away from his heroball tendencies and playing the opportunistic style that fits him best – first sneaking in from the weak side to steal a Navarro pass intended for Tomic and then assisting on Reyes’ bucket that put Madrid up six. Speaking of Reyes, his work on the offensive glass, old-school scoring in the paint and overall defensive activity (not to mention a ridiculous + 22 in 19 minutes), make him the undisputed MVP of this game.

This version of el clásico did not feature the scoring frenzy or the wild endings of previous editions. But it did make a pretty convincing case that Madrid are growing up. Yes, they did run away from S-Rod pick and rolls in the second half, in favor of mostly unfortunate improvisations. And yes, they still struggled to come up with counters when option A in most possessions was not available. But after shutting down Maccabi, they hounded another efficient offense into more turnovers than assists, completely dominating the possessions game thanks to their simultaneous obliteration of Barcelona on the offensive glass. And on offense, they rediscovered their balanced approach in the fourth quarter, with S-Rod and Rudy facilitating, as half court were combined with sets with options in primary or delayed transition.

The blaugrana were painfully shorthanded and have nothing to be ashamed for. Tomic is an elite center. Their other young guys have shown a lot of promise. Pascual responded masterfully to a series of challenges, even though one has to wonder if he should have gone to The Zone for longer stretches. But in the end, they could not match Madrid’s depth and – more surprisingly – defensive intensity. Olympiacos proved their resilience earlier tonight, but they should be getting prepared for an even bigger fight on Sunday. Real Madrid are for real.

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

End of third quarter, Barcelona up 3

Early in the 3rd quarter, the story was The Zone and Barcelona’s depth. Madrid scored 4 points on their first five possessions against Pascual’s now infamous scheme and their offense never recovered even against man-to-man. Not enough pick and rolls or transition points, too much dribbling by Rudy. Meanwhile, Tomic and Navarro combined for four points (all of them by the Croatian, all of them assisted), but Marcelinho Huertas did what we suspected Saras would do, Lorbek woke up and even Ingles chipped in. Barcelona have also regained control of the boards and Begic did not exactly earn his minutes

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

End of 1st half: Madrid up 6

It doesn’t happen as often as it should, but when S-Rod is on, it’s a thing of beauty.  Whether he’s putting Huertas on skates before pulling up or providing the alley to Slaughter’s oop, the man has been must-see (euroleague.) tv tonight. And he has combined with the white hot Llull to score 18 of Madrid’s 39 points. Meanwhile, Mirotic spent most of the second quarter on the bench, Rudy is not having his finest game and Carroll is scoreless. That’s three elite offensive players. And still, Madrid put together a 28-point quarter against the best defense in Europe. They have a lot of ways to score and they just need time to figure which ones work out for them.

Barcelona have to give something up: open threes by Llull as his man closes in on the ballhandler attacking the rim; offensive boards (three of them) by Reyes, who is taking advantage of the openings in the blaugrana rotations; and whatever S-Rod comes up with on the pick and roll. Maybe the zone (in a 3-2 formation tonight, at least for a couple of defensive possessions) will help the Spanish champs avoid such unpleasant dilemmas.

Pascual has seen his own dynamic duo hold their end of the bargain, as Tomic and Navarro have combine for 23 of Barcelona’s 33 points. But Lorbek is still MIA and Huertas did not build on his exciting start, in large part due to the presence of Slaughter as the designated pick and roll defender.

History suggests that Barcelona need more offense to pull off a win here. The first half, along with Madrid’s second quarter defense, suggests that they are going to have a hard time finding it.

 

 

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

Madrid take a 4-point lead late in the second quarter

Lots of good news for Madrid to start the second quarter. Llull hit a  trio of three pointers, warning Pascual that daring him to shoot is not a good idea tonight. S-Rod looks focused, hitting a floater  finding Reyes and Slaughter for  easy deuces inside and adding a three of his own as Madrid start to look like a proper pick and roll team. They also find a few openings on the stretch four areas, even though Reyes is not the man on the job (he did hit a long two pointer though)

On the other end, Barcelona experience playoffs flashbacks. The offensively challenged lineup of Saras, Sada, Abrines, Wallace and Todorovic scored only one bucket in two and a half minutes. Navarro and Tomic returned after a very short rest and combined seven  points, while Sada is matching Reyes on the offensive glass. This is not enough for his team though, as Madrid start to get back an increasing number of their missed shots.  And with Rudy finally connecting on a drive the bad news start to add up. Madrid look too deep right now.

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

End of 1st quarter: Barcelona up seven

Rudy and Navarro are matched up on both ends of the floor. La Bomba is winning that duel, as Rudy can’t keep up with him running off screens and is not particularly successful attacking him off the dribble. Madrid’s insistence on treating pick and rolls as virtual iso plays is backfiring tonight, as the blaugrana help defense is on point. The same is true for their rotations against Madrid’s shooters curling off screens. Mirotic is active, but Barcelona have been dominating inside on both ends, force turnovers and control the boards. Paging Sergio Rodriguez.

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

Barcelona- Madrid: first impressions

Early on both teams looked to establish their inside game. Madrid went scoreless on their first four post ups (Rudy, Begic, Suarez). Ante Tomic had one offensive board, drew two fouls and scored 6 points in the first 6 minutes. On the perimeter things are not much better for the merengues.

Help defenders attack the Madrid slashers as soon as they put the ball on the floor, forcing two early TOs. Madrid have only one corner three and a drive by Mirotic to counter the blaugrana’s strong-side heavy D (Suarez also hit a tough stepback).

On the other hand, Huertas is working the pick and roll to perfection and Navarro hit a three and then another whole drawing the foul. Barca up 7, three minutes to go.

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

CSKA – OLYMPIACOS QUICK NOTES

Size and length. This was supposed to determine the outcome of the first semifinal in the basketball-crazed city of London. This was also CSKA’s main advantage. The only problem with that theory is that size and length can’t stand still around the rim and make things happen. Size and length need to be fed the ball through ballhandling and organizing. But most importantly size and length need to have heart and explosiveness (aka Kyle Hines).

Olympiacos’ strategy of packing the paint was facilitated by Ettore Messina’s starting lineup. The Italian coach went with Aaron Jackson as a V-Span stopper, with Weems and Khryapa at forwards. The Reds gave A-Jax the Victor Sada treatment. The same strategy was applied when Theo Papaloukas entered the game: defenders were going under the screen and ignoring them when they were stationed at the weakside.

CSKA started the game white hot from the perimeter, scoring their first ten points on two three pointers and a couple of long perimeter shots just inside the arc en route to  38% shooting from the three-point line in the first half. Bartzokas refused to adjust and looked really smart for doing so. Not only did the Russians’ percentage drop, but their inside game was clogged. Backdoor cuts, straight pick and rolls, or attempts at post up all lead to many risky passes and a mind-boggling 8-13 assist to turnover ratio. Pressure on the ball was very effective for the first thirty minutes, especially against Milos Teodosic.

Of course some of those turnovers resulted from the CSKA players losing their cool. Free throw shooting was another indication of their shaken confidence.

Speaking of losing one’s cool, is this a good time to mention that CSKA paid Olympiacos 1.2 million euros just to secure the rights to Milos Teodosic?

On offense, Olympiacos simply dominated the paint. In the first half CSKA had attempted 5 shots inside the three-second area. Olympiacos had 19, ending the game with 17/30 field goals in the paint. Kyle Hines outworked everyone Giorgi Shermadini finished strong and the champs had twice as many offensive boards as their opponents, even though they missed fewer shots. Sometimes, size does not equal effort and determination.

Pero Antic is always a great defender. But when he makes his threes Olympiacos can live without Spanoulis scoring as much as he usually does. The MVP could not hit anything from outside, but worked hard on D, kept his turnovers in check and kept the ball moving, especially in the first half, when side pick and rolls and transition opportunities allowed Acie Law to attack Teodosic and shine. Sloukas was just as good during that stretch.

CSKA went with more switches in the pick and roll throughout the second half, limiting side pick and roll opportunities and open shots from the wing off defensive rotations. Olympiacos’ offense looked more stagnant, as the post up/floater threat that was Printezis in the first half was not sustained. Also, Oly’s reaction to the zone press in the fourth quarter could have been better. And they won’t always get away with allowing so many open threes.

But Olympiacos are a very tough team to beat. When Papanikolaou headed to the bench with two early fouls, things looked bleak. His replacement, Stratos Perperoglou created enough shots and worked hard enough on D to earn a spot on Oly’s unit that went 19-4 over a seven minute stretch (see boxscore/lineup data) along with Span, Sloukas, Hines and Antic. That’s depth.

Oly reaffirmed that they are a tough team to beat in a knock out setting. More on the final once we know their opponents.

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

Full Stats CSKA vs Olympiakos

sJacas, 10/05/2013

1st Half Stats

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lineups

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sJacas, 10/05/2013

Erazem Time

If there is a single indispensable thing Barça needs to do, in order to win tonight, making those threes may make the top of the list. They don’t have trouble finding the good looks but converting it. When CJ Wallace and Erazem Lorbek make them, life is much easier. As it is one of the primary points Real Madrid builds its counter-Barça strategy by taking that risk, it also has a psychological boost effect for the blaugrana. However, CJ Wallace coming off a wrist injury which could affect his shot significantly. Erazem Lorbek has lost its confidence and not playing like the best big man of Europe for a long while. One of the many issues Barça is going through about Pete Mickeal’s absence is his contribution beyond the arc. Marko Todorovic who is expected to play for a short period is not even confident in the paint.

Nathan Jawai’s probably out tonight as well. But, it could be an opportunity also. Could giving Erazem Lorbek minutes in the center position, keeping him closer to the rim might be better for him tonight? Barça desperately needs its mighty Slovenian at offense not only to facilitate but also to finish. That could bring other problems, starting with rebounds, but those are probably less decisive. Xavi Pascual must have prepared something. Whatever he does in terms of X’s and O’s is always intriguing.

Regarding threes, Turkish U16 Head Coach Ömer Uğurata who won the gold medal in European Championship last year and part of senior national team staff, working on scouting the opponents, mentioned Alex Abrines’ catch and shoot ability to compensate Pete Mickeal’s absence partially. Considering how he contributed in the last couple of weeks. He seems like the best Kostas Papanikolaou candidate of this Final-Four.

Last one, Sarunas Jasikevicius had not lost a Final-Four game until last year’s controversial loss to CSKA Moscow in the semis. It was the greatest Final-Four performance I have ever seen. Also, don’t forget that he was the one who made the difference for Panathinaikos in Berlin. He is just too great to ignore. He has always delivered at these big games.

CT, 10/05/2013

El semifinal clásico: A Preview

It’s only basketball*, but the significance of any duel between Real Madrid and Barcelona cannot be overstated. Euroleague need all the rivalries they can get and it doesn’t get much better than the second semifinal in the London final four. Regardless of history, though, this matchup is a real treat for basketball geeks all around.

Going over the short but eventful career of Xavi Pascual, one can name quite a few challenges that brought him where he is today: There was the Baskonia offense – designed by Dusko Ivanovic and led by none other than Pete Mickeal – which destroyed Barcelona in the ACB finals back in 2008; the arrival in Madrid of Ettore Messina, the master of the half court game that the blaugrana coach prefers, in 2009; and of course the elimination at the hands of Panathinaikos in the 2011 Euroleague playoffs, after a steady diet of Zeljko Obradovic’s matchup zone and pick and roll offense. However, none of these obstacles had as significant an impact as the introduction of Lasoball by Barcelona’s archrivals.

You see, the ACB finals in 2009 proved that all Pascual needed to figure out Baskonia was time. Barcelona’s domination over Madrid during Messina’s tenure, reaffirmed the quality of their half court execution (not to mention their athletic advantage). And the failure to reach the final four in their hometown was treated for the most part as a roster issue – out went Ricky Rubio and his shaky jumper, in came Marcelinho Huertas, making that pesky zone defense by Barcelona opponents a much riskier undertaking. Madrid under Pablo Laso, however, had to force Pascual into some deeper soul searching.

The recent European and domestic success of Barcelona was built on slow pace and a formidable defense that forced opponents into the trees inside while keeping rotations at a minimum. The renovated Real Madrid had no problem to beat the blaugrana on their own terms. They ran shooters off screens, making Juan Carlos Navarro work extra hard on defense and capitalizing on Pascual’s reluctance to use his bigs outside as help defenders. They treated pick and rolls as isolation opportunities, with their gifted perimeter scorers exploding off the ball screen and thriving on mid-range opportunities. They looked for mismatches inside and dared Barcelona’s perimeter defenders to rotate over. And they relentlessly attacked the offensive glass, making shot blockers like Boni N’dong and Fran Vazquez to think twice before leaving their feet.

The 2012 Copa del Rey final, held in Barcelona, must have been a proper culture shock for Pascual. Laso’s Madrid are not a team without issues. Their top-16 loss at Moscow against CSKA was the latest reminder of their shortcomings in transition defense – resulting from their unchecked enthusiasm for offensive boards and poor communication when individual defense doesn’t hold up. Their offense often looks stagnant when shooters don’t get good looks and iso plays don’t produce enough points. But their elite Euroleague team status aside, they often look like they were built to put an end to Barcelona’s reign. And they came pretty close to doing just that in last season’s ACB finals. But after watching his team go down two games to one and surrender home court advantage to Madrid, Pascual simply continued to evolve as a coach.

Remember The Zone that turned around the blaugrana series against Panathinaikos a couple of weeks ago? We had first seen it in the ACB finals against Madrid. Madrid also inspired switches, along with all sorts of counters to off the ball screens in the context of a more flexible approach. In short, Madrid forced Pascual out of his comfort zone and he became a better coach for it. This sort of evolution is also evident on the other end of the floor, regardless of the Laso effect. Last season Barcelona tended to rely excessively on mid-range jumpers, but their summer signings have moved much of the blaugrana offense toward the paint. According to a fantastic analysis by NTV Sport (credit to Çağrı Turhan for translating it), post-up plays for Barcelona account for 10% of their possessions. Their bigs are also heavily involved in pick and rolls, which have amounted to 20% of their offense.

Nathan Jawai is doing a lot of finishing inside as the roll man, especially around the rim. His absence will be another obstacle for Pascual to overcome, after losing Pete Mickeal, his best player this season and surviving a rocky start to the season after a major roster shakeup over the summer. The celebrated prospect that is Marko Todorovic will get a chance to prove that his team did not drop the ball by not signing another big man. His effectiveness on the defensive glass could help against Madrid’s aerial assault after nearly every missed shot. But Barcelona will need more from Erazem Lorbek, compared to his contributions up until this point. The NTV Sport numbers have Madrid as the worst defensive team in the paint among final four participants. Tomic has had big games against his former team, but he will need help.

Laso and Madrid on the other hand, have not experienced a similar evolution. They do not adjust for anyone and in the playoff series against Maccabi this decision paid off, as they used stifling defense to sweep the perennial final four contenders off. Madrid’s defense reflects their offense in many ways. Laso trusts the individual ability of his players and tries to put each on of them in a position to succeed – whether it’s Marcus Slaughter chasing guards on the perimeter, Sergio Llull pressuring the ball, or Rudy Fernandez roaming on the weak side. Panathinaikos caused Barcelona some problems by having James Gist guard (as opposed to merely switching on) Saras and Navarro. Slaughter could shine on a similar role, but even though the merengues are more straightforward in their approach, they are a bigger mystery at the same time.

You see, Barcelona will try more options on both ends of the floor in any given name, but this flexibility is to be expected. In other words, don’t be surprised if you are surprised. But will Laso follow Pascual’s lead ? Barcelona have attempted to crowd Madrid’s shooters as they come off screens and turn them into passers. At this season’s Copa del Rey tournament, Madrid responded by having Llull take 17 threes. If those open looks don’t drop at an acceptable rate, will Laso go for more cuts from the top of the key toward the basket ? Jaycee Carroll may not be able to find the open man (Barcelona basically dare him to make that pass and he hasn’t responded so far), but Rudy can definitely find success as a facilitator.

As mentioned above, another potential source of trouble for Madrid is their opponents’ prolific low post offense. Are more aggressive double teams in order this time around? Will Laso break out the zone press defense, spearheaded by Slaughter? And how will the merengues try to wear down Tomic? Is it time for a more conventional pick and roll offense that will force the Barcelona big to expand more energy – and, ideally, more fouls – on defense?

So far this season, neither team has been able to stop the other from scoring, at least for long stretches. That’s partly because both teams can capitalize on a bunch of favourable matchups. But it’s also because they represent different basketball cultures. Setting the clásico mythology aside, this is what makes each one of their encounters so damn exciting. And is there a better stage for each side to present its arguments than the Euroleague final four.

*see, that was a joke

 

Rod Higgins, 10/05/2013

Hello from London where we’ll be covering this year’s Euroleague Final Four – myself from London, Rod and Cagri from Greece and Turkey, respectively.

More to follow.

sJacas, 10/05/2013

May 10th, 2013